International Conflict, 030:165

Summer 2009

• Syllabus

READINGS

• Lemke, "The Continuation of History: Power Transition Theory and the End of the Cold War"

• Goldstein & Freeman, "U.S.-Soviet-Chinese Relations: Routine, Reciprocity, or Rational Expectations?"

• Goldstein & Pevehouse, "Reciprocity, Bullying, and International Cooperation: Time-Series Analysis of the Bosnia Conflict"

• Leeds, Long, & Mitchell, "Reevaluating Alliance Reliability: Specific Threats, Specific Promises"

• Leeds, "Do Alliances Deter Aggression? The Influence Military Alliances on the Initiation of Militarized Interstate Disputes"

• Hensel et al, "Bones of Contention: Comparing Territorial, Maritime, and River Issues"

• Vasquez, "Why do Neighbors Fight? Proximity, Interaction, or Territoriality?"

• Bremer, "Dangerous Dyads: Conditions Affecting the Likelihood of Interstate War, 1816-1965"

• Colaresi & Thompson, "Hot Spots or Hot Hands? Serial Crisis Behavior, Escalating Risks, and Rivalry"

• Ostrom & Job, "The President and the Political Use of Force"

• Mitchell & Prins, "Rivalry and Diversionary Uses of Force"

• Peceny, "A Constructivist Interpretation of the Liberal Peace: The Ambiguous Case of the Spanish-American War"

• Diehl, "Peacekeeping Operations and the Quest for Peace"

• Hansen, Mitchell, & Nemeth, "IO Mediation of Interstate Conflicts: Moving Beyond the Global vs. Regional Dichotomy"

ADDITIONAL SOURCES

On parity and war, see Regions of War and Peace by Douglas Lemke (Cambridge University Press, 2002).

On arms races and war, see "Arms Races and Dispute Escalation: Resolving the Debate" by Susan Sample and "Taking Arms Against a Sea of Troubles: Conventional Arms Races During Periods of Rivalry" by Douglas Gibler, Toby Rider, and Marc Hutchinson.

On the effect of nuclear weapons on interstate crisis behavior, see "Proliferation and International Crisis Behavior" by Victor Asal and Kyle Beardsley.

To find data on military alliances, visit the Correlates of War website here or the ATOP website here.

To learn more about the Issue Correlates of War (ICOW) project, check out this website.

EXTRA LECTURE MATERIAL

• Data Analysis

• Measuring War

• Realism

• Power Transition Theory

• Arms Races

• Reciprocity

• More on Arms Races/Reciprocity

• Alliances

• Territorial Conflicts

• Crisis Bargaining & Rivalry

• Diversionary Theory, Part I

• Diversionary Theory, Part II

• Clash of Civilizations

• Democratic Peace

• Democratic Peace Graphs

• War Power & the Willingness to Suffer

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